India’s dramatic loss of Kovid control this month is just an absurd lesson in the dangers of reducing our defense. It was a pandemic long-term — everyone was frustrated. By international comparison, our resistance to the curse in the first year is great for its strength or weakness. This April, we dropped 10 slots on Bloomberg’s Kovid Resistance Rankings chart released earlier this week. Of the 53 countries tracked, India now ranks 30th. Singapore topped New Zealand, Australia third, Israel one to fourth. These are considered to be the safest places on the planet. Brazil is undesirable in this estimate, but Turkey, which has the worst performance on the latest chart, is ranked 46th out of 19 places. France also did poorly. While other countries on the list of the world’s largest economies are worse than India, however, that doesn’t mean we can slow them down somewhat, figuratively or otherwise. The world worries us — and for good reason.
Size matters. And India is overpopulated. It raises our health urgency and prolongs the time it takes us to overcome it. Bloomberg’s ranking size is used only as an inclusion criterion. Its chart is based on the principle of estimating national resilience, reflected in the index scores calculated for each success of the 53 countries where the virus is present, while at the same time causing minimal social and economic disruption. As inputs, it uses official data (in this case up to April 25), and these are more standard than absolute numbers. So, on some parameters, we did better than some top level countries. For example, of the 137 deaths we recorded per million population, much less than the 734 that Israel logged in, it is a small country, a significant portion of its population has been vaccinated and has already achieved a comparison of social normalcy. India is also quite right in counting 100,000 cases a month in Bloomberg, 349, much lower than the 595 reported to the US, ranking 17th overall. Our high positive rate for Kovid tests (17.8%) is a sign of inadequate testing, and the number of people covered so far by vaccines (5.1%) is low. Since the index used for this ranking focuses on a wide range of results, it does not take into account scarcity.
To understand why India is currently in the world view, we need to look beyond our rank. Take the world’s deaths and daily-infection graphs. Strangely, these are similar to the sample. The country’s counts are so large that the sharpness of this year’s global upshot will now largely depend on the pace of the epidemic here. If our infection curve cannot be smoothed out, the trajectory of the epidemic around the world will soon mark India. If the quality of Indian data has left analysts nervous on one level, another warning has arisen over virus variants being zipped ahead of vaccines. While this problem is not strange to India, people fear that the ‘double-mutant’ variant of the epidemic found here could hit other countries, where vaccine shots can be defeated. Other corona mutations have also occurred, but we are not yet clear enough on what this indicates. After all, the responsibility we bear is never great. For us, as for the world, we must gain the grip of this crisis.